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Political Science Commons

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Selected Works

2017

A. Lee Hannah, Jr.

Articles 1 - 3 of 3

Full-Text Articles in Political Science

A Preview Of The Ohio Primary: Part 2, A. Lee Hannah Jan 2017

A Preview Of The Ohio Primary: Part 2, A. Lee Hannah

A. Lee Hannah, Jr.

A week ago, a Clinton victory in the Democratic primary appeared inevitable. Hillary Clinton had won a number of southern contests by large majorities and was nearing “presumptive nominee” status. Even Bernie Sanders admitted that his campaign “got decimated” in South Carolina a few weeks ago. But this Scenario might have changed last week, when Bernie Sanders pulled off a shocking upset in Michigan. In fact, Nate Silver called the results in Michigan “among the greatest polling errors in primary history”. This surprising victory has energized the Sanders campaign. So was the Michigan result an aberration or a sign of ...


The Usefulness Of Consumer Sentiment: Assessing Construct And Measurement, Paul M. Kellstedt, Suzanna Linn, A. Lee Hannah Jan 2017

The Usefulness Of Consumer Sentiment: Assessing Construct And Measurement, Paul M. Kellstedt, Suzanna Linn, A. Lee Hannah

A. Lee Hannah, Jr.

Given the scholarly and popular prominence of the concept of consumer confidence, it is striking that there are no examinations of the quality of the most commonly used measure of the concept—the University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS). In this study, we assess the usefulness of consumer sentiment as a construct and a measure (or measures). We also identify the best way to consider its role in consumer behavior. This brings us to a consideration of fundamental questions about the reliability and validity of consumer sentiment measures. Our purpose is to provide evidence on this score ...


A Preview Of The Ohio Primary: Part 1, A. Lee Hannah Jan 2017

A Preview Of The Ohio Primary: Part 1, A. Lee Hannah

A. Lee Hannah, Jr.

Ohio voters will get the opportunity to weigh in on the 2016 presidential nominee tomorrow, Tuesday, March 15. The value of winning Ohio carries symbolic importance for both parties. As a national bellwether, candidates can use a strong showing in the Buckeye State to assert that they are a national contender. Moreover, the winner-take-all rules in the Republican Party make Ohio one of the most valuable prizes in the primary to date, giving the winner 5 percent of the total delegates they need to get to the 1,237 delegates needed to win the election.