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Full-Text Articles in Political Science

How Serious Are Methodological Issues In Surveys? A Reexamination Of The Clarence Thomas Polls, J. Scott Armstrong, Fred Collopy Jan 1994

How Serious Are Methodological Issues In Surveys? A Reexamination Of The Clarence Thomas Polls, J. Scott Armstrong, Fred Collopy

Marketing Papers

Opinion polling procedures allow for reasonable inferences about attitude changes. We examined this contention using surveys about the nomination of Clarence Thomas. In this situation, prior theory allowed us to predict the direction of change, surveys had been conducted by a number of organizations, and substantial information was available about the methodology used in the surveys. As a result, we concluded that the deteriorating opinions of Thomas were real.


Presidential Popularity And The Linear Model, April Gosser Jan 1994

Presidential Popularity And The Linear Model, April Gosser

Honors Theses

Since the 1970's, much research has been done in an attempt to determine variables that cause decline of the president's popularity. Although there are different studies that give various reasons for the decline of the president's popularity, all agree that there is a trend of decline over the president's term. To represent the decline, James Stimson suggested a parabola model, whereas John Mueller suggested a linear-regression model. This paper attempts to show that a linear-regression model is more effective in explaining decline of the presidents from Truman to Johnson, than from Nixon to Bush. The findings ...