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Political Science Commons

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Comparative Politics

2008

Ithaca College

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Full-Text Articles in Political Science

The Impact Of Taiwan's 2008 Elections On Cross-Strait Relations: A Game-Theoretical Analysis, Vincent Wei-Cheng Wang Jan 2008

The Impact Of Taiwan's 2008 Elections On Cross-Strait Relations: A Game-Theoretical Analysis, Vincent Wei-Cheng Wang

Politics Faculty Publications and Presentations

As an “index case” of Third-Wave democracies facing existential threat, Taiwan’s elections entail important implications for study in comparative politics and international relations. In 2008, three important elections help define the course of Taiwan’s democratic development and its relationship with China: the January legislative election, the March presidential election, and a controversial referendum on Taiwan’s United Nations entry. This article employs game theory to analyze the impact of Taiwan’s 2008 elections on cross-strait relations. It develops an “election game” by examining each principal player’s preferences regarding each election. It analyzes Beijing’s possible reaction to ...