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Political Science Commons

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Communication

University of Central Florida

Central Intelligence Agency

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Full-Text Articles in Political Science

Political-Science Forecasts Are Predictably Unpredictable, David Houghton Jun 2012

Political-Science Forecasts Are Predictably Unpredictable, David Houghton

UCF Forum

Social scientists just can’t help making predictions, even in the face of overwhelming evidence that we’re likely to be wrong.