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Public Economics

John Thornton

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Why Do Countries Adopt Fiscal Rules?, John Thornton, Yener Altunbas Jan 2015

Why Do Countries Adopt Fiscal Rules?, John Thornton, Yener Altunbas

John Thornton

This paper examines which economic, institutional and political charac- teristics of countries affect the likelihood that a numeral rule will be adopted as part of a fiscal strategy to limit the level of public debt. We estimate a panel binary response model over the period 1970–2012 for 110 countries, of which 58 opted to adopt such a rule. Our results suggest that the probability such a rule will be adopted is greater if a country has a high level of public debt, a relatively inflexible exchange rate regime, has already adopted inflation targeting, has deep credit markets and if ...